Our Hit Rates (various Categories)
To see the current season: [1.Bundesliga 2015/16 | hit rates]
For the [1.Bundesliga 2014/15] we have prepared a couple of hit rates for you regarding different prediction categories.
Hit rate by matchday since the 1st until matchday 34: 124 out of 306 / 41% (“by chance” would be ø ~33%). The success rates by matchday:
Hit rate by team after matchday 34 of the 1.Bundesliga 2014/15 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):
Hit rate in dependency of our statistical confidence factor DMS-C until matchday 34 of the 1.Bundesliga 2014/15 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):
DMS-C > 60%: 16 out of 23 / 70%
DMS-C 45-60%: 44 out of 79 / 56%
DMS-C < 45%: 64 out of 204 / 31%
Hit rate by predicted match outcome until matchday 34 of the 1.Bundesliga 2014/15 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):
Predicted victory of home team: 52 out of 80 / 65%
Predicted victory of away team: 42 out of 120 / 35%
Predicted draw: 30 out of 106 / 28%
Hit rate by table positions in the 1.Bundesliga 2014/15 from matchday 2 to matchday 34 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):
For teams within the table positions 1-6: 85 out of 198 / 43%
For teams within the table positions 7-12: 80 out of 198 / 40%
For teams within the table positions 13-18: 75 out of 198 / 38%
Hit rate for the exact match result until matchday 34: 24 out of 306 / 8%.
For 105 out of 306 matches (34%) we missed the exact match result by just 1 single goal.
Sum (perfect forecast + missed by just 1 goal): 129 out of 306 matches (42%).
Opposite result (prediction of a victory of team A, but team B wins – or vice versa): 54 out of 306 matches (18%). Less is better!
Hit rate by weekday until matchday 34 of the 1.Bundesliga 2014/15 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):
Friday matches: 14 out of 25 / 56%
Saturday matches: 82 out of 197 / 42%
Sunday matches: 15 out of 57 / 26%
Other weekdays: 13 out of 27 / 48%
Hit rate tops & flops until matchday 34 of the 1.Bundesliga 2014/15 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):
Best forecast by matchday: 6 out of 9 / 67%
Worst forecast by matchday: 2 out of 9 / 22%
Here you can find our [statistics by team].
And here you get to our forecast for the [1.Bundesliga 2014/15].
