Our Hit Rates (various Categories)
For the [2.Bundesliga 2015/16] we have prepared a couple of hit rates for you regarding different prediction categories.
Hit rate by matchday since the 1st until matchday 34: 122 out of 306 / 40% (“by chance” would be ø ~33%). The success rates by matchday:
Hit rate by team after matchday 34 of the 2.Bundesliga 2015/16 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):
Hit rate in dependency of our statistical confidence factor DMS-C until matchday 34 of the 2.Bundesliga 2015/16 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):
DMS-C > 60%: 1 out of 3 / 33%
DMS-C 45-60%: 55 out of 100 / 55%
DMS-C < 45%: 66 out of 203 / 33%
Hit rate by predicted match outcome until matchday 34 of the 2.Bundesliga 2015/16 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):
Predicted victory of home team: 61 out of 124 / 49%
Predicted victory of away team: 24 out of 44 / 55%
Predicted draw: 37 out of 138 / 27%
Hit rate by table positions in the 2.Bundesliga 2015/16 from matchday 2 to matchday 34 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):
For teams within the table positions 1-6: 83 out of 198 / 42%
For teams within the table positions 7-12: 70 out of 198 / 35%
For teams within the table positions 13-18: 83 out of 198 / 42%
Hit rate for the exact match result until matchday 34: 30 out of 306 / 10%.
For 125 out of 306 matches (41%) we missed the exact match result by just 1 single goal.
Sum (perfect forecast + missed by just 1 goal): 155 out of 306 matches (51%).
Opposite result (prediction of a victory of team A, but team B wins – or vice versa): 34 out of 306 matches (11%). Less is better!
Hit rate by weekday until matchday 34 of the 2.Bundesliga 2015/16 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):
Friday matches: 29 out of 91 / 32%
Saturday matches: 29 out of 64 / 45%
Sunday matches: 44 out of 106 / 42%
Other weekdays: 20 out of 45 / 44%
Hit rate tops & flops until matchday 34 of the 2.Bundesliga 2015/16 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):
Best forecast by matchday: 7 out of 9 / 78%
Worst forecast by matchday: 1 out of 9 / 11%
Here you can find our [statistics by team].
And here you get to our forecast for the [2.Bundesliga 2015/16].
