Our Hit Rates (various Categories)
For the [3.Liga 2015/16] we have prepared a couple of hit rates for you regarding different prediction categories.
Hit rate by matchday since the 1st until matchday 38: 141 out of 380 / 37% (“by chance” would be ø ~33%). The success rates by matchday:
Hit rate by team after matchday 38 of the 3.Liga 2015/16 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):
Hit rate in dependency of our statistical confidence factor DMS-C until matchday 38 of the 3.Liga 2015/16 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):
DMS-C > 60%: 0 out of 0 / 0%
DMS-C 45-60%: 54 out of 104 / 52%
DMS-C < 45%: 87 out of 276 / 32%
Hit rate by predicted match outcome until matchday 38 of the 3.Liga 2015/16 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):
Predicted victory of home team: 82 out of 178 / 46%
Predicted victory of away team: 10 out of 31 / 32%
Predicted draw: 49 out of 171 / 29%
Hit rate by table positions in the 3.Liga 2015/16 from matchday 2 to matchday 38 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):
For teams within the table positions 1-6: 87 out of 222 / 39%
For teams within the table positions 7-14: 107 out of 296 / 36%
For teams within the table positions 15-20: 80 out of 222 / 36%
Hit rate for the exact match result until matchday 38: 34 out of 380 / 9%.
For 167 out of 380 matches (44%) we missed the exact match result by just 1 single goal.
Sum (perfect forecast + missed by just 1 goal): 201 out of 380 matches (53%).
Opposite result (prediction of a victory of team A, but team B wins – or vice versa): 45 out of 380 matches (12%). Less is better!
Hit rate by weekday until matchday 38 of the 3.Liga 2015/16 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):
Friday matches: 16 out of 47 / 34%
Saturday matches: 94 out of 255 / 37%
Sunday matches: 16 out of 41 / 39%
Other weekdays: 15 out of 37 / 41%
Hit rate tops & flops until matchday 38 of the 3.Liga 2015/16 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):
Best forecast by matchday: 7 out of 10 / 70%
Worst forecast by matchday: 1 out of 10 / 10%
Here you can find our [statistics by team].
And here you get to our forecast for the [3.Liga 2015/16].
