Our Hit Rates (various Categories)
To see the current season: [Serie A 2015/16 | hit rates]
For the [Serie A 2014/15] we have prepared a couple of hit rates for you regarding different prediction categories.
Hit rate by matchday since the 1st until matchday 38: 165 out of 380 / 43% (“by chance” would be ø ~33%). The success rates by matchday:
Hit rate by team after matchday 38 of the Serie A 2014/15 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):
Hit rate in dependency of our statistical confidence factor DMS-C until matchday 38 of the Serie A 2014/15 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):
DMS-C > 60%: 17 out of 34 / 50%
DMS-C 45-60%: 74 out of 151 / 49%
DMS-C < 45%: 74 out of 195 / 38%
Hit rate by predicted match outcome until matchday 38 of the Serie A 2014/15 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):
Predicted victory of home team: 75 out of 134 / 56%
Predicted victory of away team: 42 out of 94 / 45%
Predicted draw: 48 out of 152 / 32%
Hit rate by table positions in the Serie A 2014/15 from matchday 2 to matchday 38 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):
For teams within the table positions 1-6: 109 out of 222 / 49%
For teams within the table positions 7-14: 133 out of 296 / 45%
For teams within the table positions 15-20: 78 out of 222 / 35%
Hit rate for the exact match result until matchday 38: 49 out of 380 / 13%.
For 155 out of 380 matches (41%) we missed the exact match result by just 1 single goal.
Sum (perfect forecast + missed by just 1 goal): 204 out of 380 matches (54%).
Opposite result (prediction of a victory of team A, but team B wins – or vice versa): 38 out of 380 matches (10%). Less is better!
Hit rate by weekday until matchday 38 of the Serie A 2014/15 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):
Friday matches: 2 out of 2 / 100%
Saturday matches: 35 out of 78 / 45%
Sunday matches: 93 out of 227 / 41%
Other weekdays: 35 out of 73 / 48%
Hit rate tops & flops until matchday 38 of the Serie A 2014/15 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):
Best forecast by matchday: 7 out of 10 / 70%
Worst forecast by matchday: 1 out of 10 / 10%
Here you can find our [statistics by team].
And here you get to our forecast for the [Serie A 2014/15].