Our Hit Rates (various Categories)
To see the current season: [2.Bundesliga 2015/16 | hit rates]
For the [2.Bundesliga 2014/15] we have prepared a couple of hit rates for you regarding different prediction categories.
Hit rate by matchday since the 1st until matchday 34: 120 out of 306 / 39% (“by chance” would be ø ~33%). The success rates by matchday:
Hit rate by team after matchday 34 of the 2.Bundesliga 2014/15 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):
Hit rate in dependency of our statistical confidence factor DMS-C until matchday 34 of the 2.Bundesliga 2014/15 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):
DMS-C > 60%: 0 out of 0 / 0%
DMS-C 45-60%: 49 out of 123 / 40%
DMS-C < 45%: 71 out of 183 / 39%
Hit rate by predicted match outcome until matchday 34 of the 2.Bundesliga 2014/15 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):
Predicted victory of home team: 46 out of 97 / 47%
Predicted victory of away team: 15 out of 47 / 32%
Predicted draw: 59 out of 162 / 36%
Hit rate by table positions in the 2.Bundesliga 2014/15 from matchday 2 to matchday 34 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):
For teams within the table positions 1-6: 90 out of 198 / 45%
For teams within the table positions 7-12: 65 out of 198 / 33%
For teams within the table positions 13-18: 75 out of 198 / 38%
Hit rate for the exact match result until matchday 34: 35 out of 306 / 11%.
For 119 out of 306 matches (39%) we missed the exact match result by just 1 single goal.
Sum (perfect forecast + missed by just 1 goal): 154 out of 306 matches (50%).
Opposite result (prediction of a victory of team A, but team B wins – or vice versa): 45 out of 306 matches (15%). Less is better!
Hit rate by weekday until matchday 34 of the 2.Bundesliga 2014/15 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):
Friday matches: 37 out of 82 / 45%
Saturday matches: 32 out of 63 / 51%
Sunday matches: 32 out of 115 / 28%
Other weekdays: 19 out of 46 / 41%
Hit rate tops & flops until matchday 34 of the 2.Bundesliga 2014/15 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):
Best forecast by matchday: 6 out of 9 / 67%
Worst forecast by matchday: 0 out of 9 / 0%
Here you can find our [statistics by team].
And here you get to our forecast for the [2.Bundesliga 2014/15].
