Our Hit Rates (various Categories)
To see the current season: [Primera Division 2015/16 | hit rates]
For the [Primera Division 2014/15] we have prepared a couple of hit rates for you regarding different prediction categories.
Hit rate by matchday since the 1st until matchday 38: 193 out of 380 / 51% (“by chance” would be ø ~33%). The success rates by matchday:
Hit rate by team after matchday 38 of the Primera Division 2014/15 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):
Hit rate in dependency of our statistical confidence factor DMS-C until matchday 38 of the Primera Division 2014/15 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):
DMS-C > 60%: 46 out of 58 / 79%
DMS-C 45-60%: 98 out of 181 / 54%
DMS-C < 45%: 49 out of 141 / 35%
Hit rate by predicted match outcome until matchday 38 of the Primera Division 2014/15 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):
Predicted victory of home team: 103 out of 159 / 65%
Predicted victory of away team: 51 out of 88 / 58%
Predicted draw: 39 out of 133 / 29%
Hit rate by table positions in the Primera Division 2014/15 from matchday 2 to matchday 38 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):
For teams within the table positions 1-6: 137 out of 222 / 62%
For teams within the table positions 7-14: 141 out of 296 / 48%
For teams within the table positions 15-20: 102 out of 222 / 46%
Hit rate for the exact match result until matchday 38: 43 out of 380 / 11%.
For 152 out of 380 matches (40%) we missed the exact match result by just 1 single goal.
Sum (perfect forecast + missed by just 1 goal): 195 out of 380 matches (51%).
Opposite result (prediction of a victory of team A, but team B wins – or vice versa): 41 out of 380 matches (11%). Less is better!
Hit rate by weekday until matchday 38 of the Primera Division 2014/15 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):
Friday matches: 16 out of 29 / 55%
Saturday matches: 76 out of 149 / 51%
Sunday matches: 78 out of 145 / 54%
Other weekdays: 23 out of 57 / 40%
Hit rate tops & flops until matchday 38 of the Primera Division 2014/15 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):
Best forecast by matchday: 8 out of 10 / 80%
Worst forecast by matchday: 2 out of 10 / 20%
Here you can find our [statistics by team].
And here you get to our forecast for the [Primera Division 2014/15].
