Our Hit Rates (various Categories)
To see the current season: [1.Bundesliga 2015/16 | hit rates]
For the [1.Bundesliga 2013/14] we have prepared a couple of hit rates for you regarding different prediction categories.
Hit rate by matchday since the 1st until matchday 34: 150 out of 306 / 49% (“by chance” would be ø ~33%). The success rates by matchday:
Hit rate by team after matchday 34 of the 1.Bundesliga 2013/14 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):
Hit rate in dependency of our statistical confidence factor DMS-C until matchday 34 of the 1.Bundesliga 2013/14 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):
DMS-C > 60%: 37 out of 47 / 79%
DMS-C 45-60%: 66 out of 133 / 50%
DMS-C < 45%: 47 out of 126 / 37%
Hit rate by predicted match outcome until matchday 34 of the 1.Bundesliga 2013/14 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):
Predicted victory of home team: 82 out of 137 / 60%
Predicted victory of away team: 51 out of 103 / 50%
Predicted draw: 17 out of 66 / 26%
Hit rate by table positions in the 1.Bundesliga 2013/14 from matchday 2 to matchday 34 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):
For teams within the table positions 1-6: 116 out of 198 / 59%
For teams within the table positions 7-12: 88 out of 198 / 44%
For teams within the table positions 13-18: 88 out of 198 / 44%
Hit rate for the exact match result until matchday 34: 24 out of 306 / 8%.
For 121 out of 306 matches (40%) we missed the exact match result by just 1 single goal.
Sum (perfect forecast + missed by just 1 goal): 145 out of 306 matches (47%).
Opposite result (prediction of a victory of team A, but team B wins – or vice versa): 60 out of 306 matches (20%). Less is better!
Hit rate by weekday until matchday 34 of the 1.Bundesliga 2013/14 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):
Friday matches: 14 out of 27 / 52%
Saturday matches: 105 out of 206 / 51%
Sunday matches: 26 out of 61 / 43%
Other weekdays: 5 out of 12 / 42%
Hit rate tops & flops until matchday 34 of the 1.Bundesliga 2013/14 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):
Best forecast by matchday: 7 out of 9 / 78%
Worst forecast by matchday: 1 out of 9 / 11%
Here you can find our [statistics by team].
And here you get to our forecast for the [1.Bundesliga 2013/14].