Ligue 1 2014/15

Our Hit Rates (various Categories)

Ligue-1-Football-Result-Predictions

To see the current season: [Ligue 1 2015/16 | hit rates]

For the [Ligue 1 2014/15] we have prepared a couple of hit rates for you regarding different prediction categories.

Hit rate by matchday since the 1st until matchday 38: 167 out of 380 / 44% (“by chance” would be ø ~33%). The success rates by matchday:

Football result predictions

Ligue-1-Football-Result-Predictions

Hit rate by team after matchday 38 of the Ligue 1 2014/15 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):

Football result predictions

Ligue-1-Football-Result-Predictions

Hit rate in dependency of our statistical confidence factor DMS-C until matchday 38 of the Ligue 1 2014/15 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):

DMS-C > 60%: 2 out of 2 / 100%
DMS-C 45-60%: 79 out of 122 / 65%
DMS-C < 45%: 86 out of 256 / 34%

Football result predictions

Ligue-1-Football-Result-Predictions

Hit rate by predicted match outcome until matchday 38 of the Ligue 1 2014/15 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):

Predicted victory of home team: 94 out of 154 / 61%
Predicted victory of away team: 32 out of 76 / 42%
Predicted draw: 41 out of 150 / 27%

Football result predictions

Ligue-1-Football-Result-Predictions

Hit rate by table positions in the Ligue 1 2014/15 from matchday 2 to matchday 38 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):

For teams within the table positions 1-6: 112 out of 222 / 50%
For teams within the table positions 7-14: 135 out of 296 / 46%
For teams within the table positions 15-20: 83 out of 222 / 37%

Football result predictions

Ligue-1-Football-Result-Predictions

Hit rate for the exact match result until matchday 38: 40 out of 380 / 11%.
For 137 out of 380 matches (36%) we missed the exact match result by just 1 single goal.
Sum (perfect forecast + missed by just 1 goal): 177 out of 380 matches (47%).

Opposite result (prediction of a victory of team A, but team B wins – or vice versa): 57 out of 380 matches (15%). Less is better!

Football result predictions

Ligue-1-Football-Result-Predictions

Hit rate by weekday until matchday 38 of the Ligue 1 2014/15 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):

Friday matches: 16 out of 34 / 47%
Saturday matches: 78 out of 204 / 38%
Sunday matches: 59 out of 114 / 52%
Other weekdays: 14 out of 28 / 50%

Football result predictions

Ligue-1-Football-Result-Predictions

Hit rate tops & flops until matchday 38 of the Ligue 1 2014/15 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):

Best forecast by matchday: 7 out of 10 / 70%
Worst forecast by matchday: 2 out of 10 / 20%

Football result predictions

Ligue-1-Football-Result-Predictions

Here you can find our [statistics by team].
And here you get to our forecast for the [Ligue 1 2014/15].

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