Premier League 2014/15 - Football Result Predictions

Our Hit Rates (various Categories)

To see the current season: [Premier League 2015/16 | hit rates]

For the [Premier League 2014/15] we have prepared a couple of hit rates for you regarding different prediction categories.

Hit rate by matchday since the 1st until matchday 38: 186 out of 380 / 49% (“by chance” would be ø ~33%). The success rates by matchday:

Hit rate by team after matchday 38 of the Premier League 2014/15 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):

Hit rate in dependency of our statistical confidence factor DMS-C until matchday 38 of the Premier League 2014/15 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):

DMS-C > 60%: 32 out of 41 / 78%
DMS-C 45-60%: 84 out of 181 / 46%
DMS-C < 45%: 70 out of 158 / 44%

Hit rate by predicted match outcome until matchday 38 of the Premier League 2014/15 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):

Predicted victory of home team: 90 out of 151 / 60%
Predicted victory of away team: 56 out of 105 / 53%
Predicted draw: 40 out of 124 / 32%

Hit rate by table positions in the Premier League 2014/15 from matchday 2 to matchday 38 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):

For teams within the table positions 1-6: 124 out of 222 / 56%
For teams within the table positions 7-14: 133 out of 296 / 45%
For teams within the table positions 15-20: 103 out of 222 / 46%

Hit rate for the exact match result until matchday 38: 40 out of 380 / 11%.
For 148 out of 380 matches (39%) we missed the exact match result by just 1 single goal.
Sum (perfect forecast + missed by just 1 goal): 188 out of 380 matches (49%).

Opposite result (prediction of a victory of team A, but team B wins – or vice versa): 57 out of 380 matches (15%). Less is better!

Hit rate by weekday until matchday 38 of the Premier League 2014/15 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):

Friday matches: 7 out of 10 / 70%
Saturday matches: 107 out of 217 / 49%
Sunday matches: 40 out of 90 / 44%
Other weekdays: 32 out of 63 / 51%