Primera División 2015/16

Our Hit Rates (various Categories)

Primera-Division-Football-Result-Predictions

For the [Primera Division 2015/16] we have prepared a couple of hit rates for you regarding different prediction categories.

Hit rate by matchday since the 1st until matchday 38: 186 out of 380 / 49% (“by chance” would be ø ~33%). The success rates by matchday:

Football result predictions

Primera-Division-Football-Result-Predictions

Hit rate by team after matchday 38 of the Primera Division 2015/16 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):

Football result predictions

Primera-Division-Football-Result-Predictions

Hit rate in dependency of our statistical confidence factor DMS-C until matchday 38 of the Primera Division 2015/16 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):

DMS-C > 60%: 39 out of 49 / 80%
DMS-C 45-60%: 83 out of 147 / 56%
DMS-C < 45%: 64 out of 184 / 35%

Football result predictions

Primera-Division-Football-Result-Predictions

Hit rate by predicted match outcome until matchday 38 of the Primera Division 2015/16 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):

Predicted victory of home team: 119 out of 190 / 63%
Predicted victory of away team: 40 out of 78 / 51%
Predicted draw: 27 out of 112 / 24%

Football result predictions

Primera-Division-Football-Result-Predictions

Hit rate by table positions in the Primera Division 2015/16 from matchday 2 to matchday 38 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):

For teams within the table positions 1-6: 126 out of 222 / 57%
For teams within the table positions 7-14: 138 out of 296 / 47%
For teams within the table positions 15-20: 96 out of 222 / 43%

Football result predictions

Primera-Division-Football-Result-Predictions

Hit rate for the exact match result until matchday 38: 40 out of 380 / 11%.
For 173 out of 380 matches (46%) we missed the exact match result by just 1 single goal.
Sum (perfect forecast + missed by just 1 goal): 213 out of 380 matches (56%).

Opposite result (prediction of a victory of team A, but team B wins – or vice versa): 44 out of 380 matches (12%). Less is better!

Football result predictions

Primera-Division-Football-Result-Predictions

Hit rate by weekday until matchday 38 of the Primera Division 2015/16 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):

Friday matches: 9 out of 24 / 38%
Saturday matches: 77 out of 145 / 53%
Sunday matches: 72 out of 153 / 47%
Other weekdays: 28 out of 58 / 48%

Football result predictions

Primera-Division-Football-Result-Predictions

Hit rate tops & flops until matchday 38 of the Primera Division 2015/16 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):

Best forecast by matchday: 8 out of 10 / 80%
Worst forecast by matchday: 1 out of 10 / 10%

Football result predictions

Primera-Division-Football-Result-Predictions

Here you can find our [statistics by team].
And here you get to our forecast for the [Primera Division 2015/16].

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