Ligue 1 2015/16 - Football Result Predictions

Our Hit Rates (various Categories)

For the [Ligue 1 2015/16] we have prepared a couple of hit rates for you regarding different prediction categories.

Hit rate by matchday since the 1st until matchday 38: 173 out of 380 / 46% (“by chance” would be ø ~33%). The success rates by matchday:

Hit rate by team after matchday 38 of the Ligue 1 2015/16 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):

Hit rate in dependency of our statistical confidence factor DMS-C until matchday 38 of the Ligue 1 2015/16 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):

DMS-C > 60%: 16 out of 23 / 70%
DMS-C 45-60%: 84 out of 158 / 53%
DMS-C < 45%: 73 out of 199 / 37%

Hit rate by predicted match outcome until matchday 38 of the Ligue 1 2015/16 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):

Predicted victory of home team: 90 out of 184 / 49%
Predicted victory of away team: 46 out of 87 / 53%
Predicted draw: 37 out of 109 / 34%

Hit rate by table positions in the Ligue 1 2015/16 from matchday 2 to matchday 38 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):

For teams within the table positions 1-6: 113 out of 222 / 51%
For teams within the table positions 7-14: 126 out of 296 / 43%
For teams within the table positions 15-20: 101 out of 222 / 45%

Hit rate for the exact match result until matchday 38: 45 out of 380 / 12%.
For 141 out of 380 matches (37%) we missed the exact match result by just 1 single goal.
Sum (perfect forecast + missed by just 1 goal): 186 out of 380 matches (49%).

Opposite result (prediction of a victory of team A, but team B wins – or vice versa): 64 out of 380 matches (17%). Less is better!

Hit rate by weekday until matchday 38 of the Ligue 1 2015/16 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):

Friday matches: 13 out of 31 / 42%
Saturday matches: 94 out of 212 / 44%
Sunday matches: 49 out of 103 / 48%
Other weekdays: 17 out of 34 / 50%