Premier League 2015/16

Our Hit Rates (various Categories)

Premier-League-Football-Result-Predictions

For the [Premier League 2015/16] we have prepared a couple of hit rates for you regarding different prediction categories.

Hit rate by matchday since the 1st until matchday 38: 169 out of 380 / 44% (“by chance” would be ø ~33%). The success rates by matchday:

Football result predictions

Premier-League-Football-Result-Predictions

Hit rate by team after matchday 38 of the Premier League 2015/16 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):

Football result predictions

Premier-League-Football-Result-Predictions

Hit rate in dependency of our statistical confidence factor DMS-C until matchday 38 of the Premier League 2015/16 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):

DMS-C > 60%: 14 out of 21 / 67%
DMS-C 45-60%: 76 out of 144 / 53%
DMS-C < 45%: 79 out of 215 / 37%

Football result predictions

Premier-League-Football-Result-Predictions

Hit rate by predicted match outcome until matchday 38 of the Premier League 2015/16 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):

Predicted victory of home team: 84 out of 152 / 55%
Predicted victory of away team: 46 out of 101 / 46%
Predicted draw: 39 out of 127 / 31%

Football result predictions

Premier-League-Football-Result-Predictions

Hit rate by table positions in the Premier League 2015/16 from matchday 2 to matchday 38 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):

For teams within the table positions 1-6: 103 out of 222 / 46%
For teams within the table positions 7-14: 124 out of 296 / 42%
For teams within the table positions 15-20: 103 out of 222 / 46%

Football result predictions

Premier-League-Football-Result-Predictions

Hit rate for the exact match result until matchday 38: 41 out of 380 / 11%.
For 129 out of 380 matches (34%) we missed the exact match result by just 1 single goal.
Sum (perfect forecast + missed by just 1 goal): 170 out of 380 matches (45%).

Opposite result (prediction of a victory of team A, but team B wins – or vice versa): 55 out of 380 matches (14%). Less is better!

Football result predictions

Premier-League-Football-Result-Predictions

Hit rate by weekday until matchday 38 of the Premier League 2015/16 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):

Friday matches: 1 out of 1 / 100%
Saturday matches: 98 out of 231 / 42%
Sunday matches: 42 out of 89 / 47%
Other weekdays: 28 out of 59 / 47%

Football result predictions

Premier-League-Football-Result-Predictions

Hit rate tops & flops until matchday 38 of the Premier League 2015/16 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):

Best forecast by matchday: 8 out of 10 / 80%
Worst forecast by matchday: 2 out of 10 / 20%

Football result predictions

Premier-League-Football-Result-Predictions

Here you can find our [statistics by team].
And here you get to our forecast for the [Premier League 2015/16].

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